PEMODELAN FIXED TIME PERIOD UNTUK SISTEM PENGENDALIAN PERSEDIAAN PADA GUDANG REGIONAL

Abstract

Inventory control modelling is utilized to optimize warehousing cost and the availability of product and raw material while keeping customer satisfaction level. A formulation of fuzzy time series based on raw material planning for  fixed-time period safety stock model was proposed to enhance forecasting accuracy in limited  data availability.  Safety stock levels were computed in monthly fashion to optimizing the most appropriate capacity in each regional warehouse. Forecasting accuracy was based on MAPE indicator. By deploying forecasted data,  the   calculation of product quantity and capacity level were set to correspond  with the target of product box quantity to produce. The result showed that the forecasting of six products in four regions showed the range of  MAPE values with  minimum at 0.29% and maximum at 1.94% level. The implementation of formula on a real field application had increased the  data flow transaction and mobility amount among stakeholders.

Keywords: formulation, fuzzy tim series forecasting, inventory control, modelling, MAPE