Dampak Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) terhadap Kinerja Ekspor Lada Utuh Indonesia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29244/fagb.16.2.304-314Keywords:
competitiveness, difference-in-differences, export volume, rcep, whole pepperAbstract
Whole pepper is one of Indonesia’s leading spice commodities, with 86.15% of total national pepper production absorbed by export markets. However, demand from most of its major destination markets has declined. The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) offers significant opportunities for Indonesia’s whole pepper exports through expanded market access, reduced tariffs and non-tariff barriers, and simplified trade procedures among member countries. This study aims to analyze the impact of RCEP on the competitiveness and export volume of Indonesian whole pepper. Secondary data with a monthly observation period from January 2018 to February 2026 were employed. The analytical methods used include Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) and Difference-in-Differences (DiD). The results indicate that, based on the RCA analysis, Indonesian whole pepper is highly competitive in both RCEP member and non-member countries, except in Pakistan. The DiD estimation reveals that the implementation of RCEP has no significant effect on export competitiveness but has a significant positive impact on the export volume of Indonesian whole pepper to RCEP member countries. Commodity prices and interest rates have a significant negative effect, while the CPI has a positive effect on the export volume of Indonesian whole pepper in the global market. Therefore, Indonesia needs to enhance both the production and quality of its pepper, while optimizing the benefits of RCEP through appropriate marketing strategies to ensure production sustainability, comply with export standards, expand market access, and improve the export performance of Indonesian whole pepper.
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