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Accepted
27 July 2018
Published
1 December 2016
Abstract
Economic growth is a matter of the economy in the long term and is influenced by various factors. This study aimed to analyze the effect of the agricultural export, industrial export, mining export, import of capital goods, government spending and gross fixed capital formation to economic growth of Indonesia. The analytical method used was Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) with Cochrane-Orcutt method. This study uses secondary data quarterly time series from 2000 Q1 to 2016 Q1 which is obtained from the Ministry of Trade, the Central Bureau of Statistics, Bank Indonesia and the Capital Investment Coordinating Board. The results showed that on the first model to see the effect of the aggregate exports on economic growth show that imports of capital goods have a significant influence in the short term to economic growth. While in the long term, the variables that have a significant impact on economic growth is GFCF. While the second model to see the role of exports by sector to economic growth getting results that exports in the industrial sector has a significant influence both in the short-term and long-term to economic growth. It concluded that outward looking policies has an effective impact to be applied in Indonesia if the Government to develop exports in the industrial sector.
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Alkadri. 1999. Sumber-Sumber Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Selama 1969- 1996. Jurnal Studi Indonesia. Universitas Terbuka Jakarta Pusat Studi Indonesia. Jakarta
Amir H. 2004. Pengaruh Ekspor Pertanian dan Nonpertanian Terhadap Pendapatan Nasional: Studi Kasus Indonesia Tahun 1981-2003. Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan. Vol. 8. No. 3
[BPS] Badan Pusat Statistik. 2016. Daftar Istilah. Jakarta. BPS.
Hussin F. 2012. Economic Growth in ASEAN-4 Countries : A Panel Data Analysis. International Journal of Economics and Finance 4(9).
Hlavova I. 2015. The Impact of Mineral Resources on Economic Growth. International Journal of Arts and Commerce 4 (6).
Iqbal A. 2004. “Pengaruh Pendapatan Nasional dan Indeks Harga Barang Impor Terhadap Impor Barang Modal IndonesiaTahun 1990-2005”. Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya.
Jocas M. 2012. Pengaruh Investasi , Jumlah Tenaga Kerja dan Pengeluaran Pemerintah Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Timor Leste Periode 2004-2011. UPN Veteran. Yogyakarta.
Juanda B. 2009. Ekonometrika : Pemodelan dan Pendugaan. Bogor : IPB Press.
Lihan I. 2003. Analisis Perkembangan Ekspor dan Pengaruhnya Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Bisnis 8 (1).
Mehrara M. 2016. The Contribution of Industry and Agriculture Exports to Economic Growth : The Case of Developing Countries. World Scientific News. EISSN 2392-2192
Morgan SL. 2000. Social Capital, Capital Goods, and the Production of Learning. Journal of Socio-Economics. Vol. 29
Omuju O. 2012. Does Trade Promote Growth in Developing Countries? Empirical Evidence from Nigeria. International Journal of Development and Sustainability. Vol. 1 No.3, 743-753
Purba A. 2006. Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Kabupaten Simalungun. Universitas Sumatera Utara. Medan.
Streeten P. 1987. A Cool Look at Outward-Looking Strategies for Development. World Economy.
Tambunan T. 2001. Perekonomian Indonesia : teori dan Temuan Empiris. Jakarta.
Authors
AsbiantariD. R., HutagaolM. P., & AsmaraA. (2016). PENGARUH EKSPOR TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA. JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN, 5(2), 10-31. https://doi.org/10.29244/jekp.5.2.2016.10-31
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