DAMPAK PERLUASAN AREAL PADA KOMODITAS KARET TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN PROVINSI JAMBI
Abstract
Since 2006, commodity development in Jambi is focusing on rubber through area expansion, rejuvenation and plant rehabilitation. The scope of this research is to study the relation between plantation commodity development which done through area expansion and Jambi’s economy. The objectives of this study are to identify factors that influence the size of area, production, productivity, price and export of rubber in Jambi, as well as to analyze the impact of rubber expansion to Jambi’s economy. This study used secondary data, which compiled as annual pooled data, at nine districts in Jambi Province from 2000 to 2012. The analysis
method used was simultaneous equation econometric, which consists of 2 identity equations and 5 structural equations, followed by model identification, model estimation using 2 SLS, validation and simulation of model. The model shows the relation between rubber expansion policy with Jambi’s economy where a 6% increase in expansion will increase the economy by 0.95%. Thus, it is recommended that Jambi Province remains focus on rubber expansion because it positively impacts their economic development.
Downloads
References
Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Jambi. 2010. Jambi Dalam Angka. Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Jambi, Jambi.
Damanik, S. 2000. Analisis Dampak Pengembangan Komoditas Perkebunan Terhadap Perekonomian Wilayah di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Vol.1, No.1, pp. 1-21.
Dinas Perkebunan Provinsi Jambi. 2010. Rencana Strategis 2006-2010 Provinsi Jambi. Dinas Perkebunan Provinsi Jambi, Jambi.
Dinas Perkebunan Provinsi Jambi. 2010. Statistik Perkebunan Provinsi Jambi Tahun 2010. Dinas Perkebunan Provinsi Jambi, Jambi.
Direktorat Jenderal Perkebunan. 2007. Pedoman Umum Program Revitalisasi Perkebunan (Kelapa Sawit. Karet dan Kakao). Direktorat Jenderal Perkebunan, Departemen Pertanian, Jakarta.
Elwamendri. 1999. Perdagangan Karet Alam Antara Negara Produsen Utama dengan Amerika Serikat. Tesis Magister Sains. Program Pascasarjana, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor.
Gujarati, D. 1999. Ekonometrika Dasar. Terjemahan. Erlangga, Jakarta.
Hallam, D. 1990. Econometric Modelling of Agricultural Commodity Markets. Routledge, London.
Indyah, S.I. 2004. Tanaman Karet Bermanfaat untuk Reboisasi dan Rehabilitasi Lahan. Warta Penelitian dan Pengembangan Pertanian Indonesia, Vol.26, No.4, pp. 14-16.
Intriligator, M.D. 1978. Econometric Model. Techniques. and Applications. Prentice Hall Inc, New Jersey.
Koutsoyiannis. 1977. Theory of Econometrics: An Introductory Exposition of Econometric Methods. Second Edition. Macmillan Publishers Ltd, London.
Labys, W.C. 1973. Dynamic Commodity models: Spesification. Estimation and Simulation. D.C. Heat and Company, Lexington.
Lewis, W.A. 1954. Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour. Manchester School of Economics, Vol.22, No.2, pp. 139-191.
Limbong, W. H. 1994. Keragaan Karet Alam Indonesia Ditinjau dari Jenis Pengusahaan dan Wilayah Produksi. Disertasi Doktor. Program Pascasarjana, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor.
Pindyck, R.S. and D.L. Rubinfeld. 1991. Econometrics Models and Economic Forecast. Third Edition. McGraw-Hill Inc, New York.
Prabowo, Dwi Wahyuniarti. 2006. Dampak Kebijakan Perdagangan Terhadap Dinamika Ekspor Karet Alam Indonesia ke Negara-negara Importir Utama. Tesis Magister Sains. Program Pascasarjana, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor.
Ranis, G. and Fei. J.C.H. 1963. A Theory of Economic Development. American Economic Review, Vol.53, No.3, pp. 533-565.
Siburian, O. 2012. Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Karet Alam Indonesia Ke Singapura Tahun 1980-2010. Economics Development Analysis Journal, Vol.1, No.2, pp. 1-6.
Sinuraya, Julia. F. 2000. Respon Produksi dan Ekspor Karet Sumatera Utara. Tesis Magister Sains. Program Pascasarjana, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor.
Suwanakul, S. and J. W. Eric. 1987. Estimates of Structural Relationships for the World’s Rubber Market with Particular Emphasis on Thailand’s Natural Rubber Industry. Kasetsart J (Social Science), 8: 173-188.
Tety, Ermi. 2002. Penawaran dan Permintaan Karet alam Indonesia di Pasar Domestik dan Internasional. Tesis Magister Sains. Program Pascasarjana, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor.
Yunus, L. 1997. Analisis Dampak Pengembangan Komoditas Perkebunan terhadap Perekonomian Wilayah di Provinsi Sulawesi Tenggara. Tesis Magister Sains. Program Pascasarjana, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor.