Rustiadi, Ernan, Indonesia

  • Forum Pasca Sarjana Vol. 34 No. 4 (2011): Forum Pascasarjana - Articles

    In order to achieve planning consensus, involvement of stakeholders in coastal zone management, have to be concerned.   The participatory prospective analysis (PPA) is a comprehensive and quickly operational framework designed to fulfill the demand for a well-structured effort of anticipation and exploration, that also focuses on interactions and consensus building among stakeholders. PPA was carried out through an expert meeting for coastal zone management planning, as a part of developing system of coastal zone spatial planning, in Lampung Bay. The PPA was aimed to involve stakeholders to generate identification and definition of key variables, definition of the states of variables in the future, building scenarios, and formulation of strategic implications and anticipated actions for coastal zone management. A number of 27 participants from various representative backgrounds, i.e.: local government, fisherman and aqua culturist, local people and entrepreneurs, and local university, was involved in experts meeting. As a result was obtained 6 variables that have the largest influence in coastal zone management of Lampung Bay, they are: quality of human resource, law enforcement, population growth, regional infrastructure, local economic activities, and regional zoning. Consensually, participants was  invented strategic implications and anticipated actions, that have to be accommodated in  coastal zone  management, they are: (1) accomplish requirement of infrastructure and facilities of health and education; (2) develop of micro, small, and medium business (MSMB)  centers  that associated with marine and fisheries; (3) accomplish requirement of housing that comprise proper infrastructure and sanitation facilities; (4) assembly synergy on spatial arrangement among cities  and regencies; (5) assembly spatial arrangement which able to drive development of MSMB in coastal zone; (6) assembly spatial arrangement which able to drive proportional distribution of population in coastal zone, and also proportionally secure the management of conservation and production areas.  Finally, it is concluded that: (1) the PPA could accomplish  direct interactions among  stakeholders intensively and generate consensus opinions; (2) the PPA could be a platform for stakeholders involvement in order to  establish keys variable of planning, define  future states of variables, scenarios building, and strategic implications and anticipated actions for integrated planning of coastal zone of Lampung Bay; (3) stakeholders involvement is the key of  simplification  of policies formulation for  integrated planning of coastal zone of Lampung Bay, in which various of interest could be accommodated.  

    Key words:  participatory prospective analysis, stakeholders, consensus, coastal zone management, Lampung Bay


    Abstract  PDF
  • Forum Pasca Sarjana Vol. 33 No. 1 (2010): Forum Pascasarjana - Articles

    The research has been conducted in border area of Timor Tengah Utara Regency, Nusa Tenggara Timur, and Oekusi Enclave District, East Timor.  The objective of the research is to analyze the center for development of agropolitan.  The method use were AHP,LQ, SSA, I-O and descriptive statistic analysis.  The result showed that subdistrict Miomafo Timur is center for agropolitan development located in the border area of District Enclave Oekusi.  It is suggested that it is a need to develop mutual and networking with other region in Timor Tengah Utara Regency and Oekusi Enclave District.

     

    Key words: boundary area,agropolitan
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  • Forum Pasca Sarjana Vol. 32 No. 1 (2009): Forum Pascasarjana - Articles

    The main idea of this study was to evaluate the influence of export to regional economic development.  The cinnamon was superior export commodity of Kerinci regency, which support to regional economic development. The purpose of this study was to analyze cinnamon sector effect to regional economic development of Kerinci Regency of Jambi and to analyse cinnamon price integration on farmers and export corporation level.  The study used qualitative and quantitative methods.  The data consisted of primary and secondary data.  The primary data were collected from survey and interview with respondents, such as farmers, traders, cinnamon entrepreneurs, local government staffs and other informants.  The secondary data were collected from Badan Pusat Statistik, Central Bank of Indonesia and FAOSTAT.  The analysis model consisted of descriptive model, input-output model, OLS regression combined with co-integration model and error correction model (ECM).  The results showed that the cinnamon had low correlation to support regional economic development and indicate regional leakage.  The farmers’ level price had no significant integration to export corporation price.  Increasing quality and industry processing development is the most important strategy.

     

    Key words: cinnamon, sectoral linkages, price integration, regional economics, agroindustry processing
    Abstract  PDF
  • Forum Pasca Sarjana Vol. 32 No. 3 (2009): Forum Pascasarjana - Articles

    Food is the basic need of every people that has to be fulfilled in order to create stable food security.  The different population growth can differ the food requirement that has to be fulfilled by self production.  Thus, this also differ food agricultural land size requirement.  The general objective of this research was to analyze food agricultural land size requirement in fulfilling food requirement of population in West Lampung District.  This research was conducted by using retrospective design and secondary data which then analyzed descriptively.  The research used some data, they were: (1) demography data year 2001-2007 from Central Bureau of Statistics,  (2) food balance sheet data year 2007 from Food Security Board of West Lampung District, (3) food consumption data year 2007 from Agriculture and Food Security Office of Lampung Province, (4) production data, productivity data, and plant index year 2002-2007 from Crops and Horticulture Office of West Lampung District, and 5) land potential of food agricultural development year 2004 from National Survey and Mapping Coordination Board. The result of the research indicates that rice requirement in West Lampung District until year 2012 can be fulfilled by production with land size utilized for rice planting in 2007.  In other hand, to reach ideal cassava production, it needs 489 hectare land size increasing with land productivity 20,22 ton/ha, per capita consumption 41,33 kg/year and population growth 1,683% per year.

     

    Keywords: food requirement, agricultural land size requirement, staple food


    Abstract  PDF
  • Forum Pasca Sarjana Vol. 31 No. 4 (2008): Forum Pascasarjana - Articles

    The change of environmental problem is very complex.  The highest population growth caused supply of land and natural resources to be increased.  If it does not control, it can influence natural resources stock and disturbs environmental balance system land use control is part of Bogor land use planning.  The objectives of this research were (1) to analyze the dynamics of land use and population in the period of 1972-2005 in Bogor Municipality, (2) to develop dynamics model and analyze the relation between the instrument of land use control and the factors related to the sustaina tozbility of Bogor Municipality, and (3) to analyze stakeholders’ roles benefited to space control system in Bogor Municipality.  The methods used for this research were (1) GIS analysis to observe the alteration influence landcover in period 1972-2005, (2) dynamic system analysis for landcover using in Bogor Municipality, and (3) AHP analysis to observe stakeholders’ role controlling use of landcover in Bogor Municipality.  This research indicate that the dynamic of landcover such as forestry, mixed plantation, and open area (1972, 1983 and 1990) before to be extended were larger than after.  For the landcover change such as resettlement, bush, water and wetland showed that were larger than before extended (2000 and 2005).  The population dynamic analysis showed the optimum increasing on 1985-2020 (22,38%) but was not followed by good landcover use planning as indicated by forestry depletion from 25% to 2%, depletion of mixed plantation from 42% to 36%, resettlement need increased from 12% to 43%, and declining open area from 17% to 2%.  These showed that Bogor developments were unsustainable.  The dynamic analysis showed the correlation between the environmental component and land use control.  Land use control to achieve Bogor sustainable development need many aspect such as land area, population number waste number, vehicle number, the length of roads and the role of stakeholder on land use control system in Bogor municipality though license mechanism and control.  The government can influence land use control at level of controlling and level of licensing.  For the government input as the authority that gives the permission of land using need to be consistent on the regulation they made.

     

    Key words: the dynamic, land use model, and controlling


    Abstract  PDF